Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.878944 1.007517 1.147477 1.311033 1.496808 1.701150 1.942853
2024-12-15 0.736354 0.922033 1.141473 1.419438 1.761657 2.168704 2.689121
2024-12-22 0.600598 0.816354 1.091475 1.466785 1.964121 2.599143 3.470017
2024-12-29 0.506424 0.743011 1.066730 1.539585 2.209885 3.122861 4.457090
2025-01-05 0.414525 0.653721 1.003464 1.548113 2.370201 3.558902 5.400849
2025-01-12 0.351350 0.592699 0.968031 1.588195 2.579895 4.094470 6.569989
2025-01-19 0.288230 0.518532 0.898332 1.562104 2.682906 4.484777 7.580421
2025-01-26 0.254929 0.486592 0.889755 1.631410 2.947219 5.163108 9.145025
2025-02-02 0.230050 0.464190 0.892699 1.719538 3.255363 5.955118 11.011530
2025-02-09 0.200547 0.427060 0.862278 1.741598 3.448409 6.574247 12.664091
2025-02-16 0.173912 0.390035 0.825115 1.743650 3.602846 7.142648 14.300830
2025-02-23 0.152168 0.358613 0.793123 1.749599 3.763955 7.742440 16.074961
2025-03-02 0.133750 0.331168 0.765455 1.761829 3.943985 8.412136 18.097737
2025-03-09 0.120435 0.312643 0.753696 1.806246 4.198638 9.267152 20.616432
2025-03-16 0.105436 0.286937 0.721280 1.799120 4.340598 9.908936 22.781450
2025-03-23 0.095568 0.271944 0.711062 1.841502 4.600234 10.837183 25.690078
2025-03-30 0.083606 0.248868 0.677045 1.820721 4.709484 11.448141 27.977682
2025-04-06 0.075530 0.234628 0.662648 1.846307 4.934255 12.351862 31.056753
2025-04-13 0.065525 0.212631 0.623884 1.802086 4.978242 12.837432 33.216676
2025-04-20 0.061225 0.206637 0.627414 1.871649 5.325425 14.100259 37.425001
2025-04-27 0.058108 0.203637 0.638840 1.965115 5.750427 15.611349 42.445204
2025-05-04 0.052897 0.192729 0.625356 1.985348 5.979363 16.654326 46.408860
2025-05-11 0.047668 0.180549 0.605797 1.984389 6.149052 17.565478 50.147786